Investment Thesis
High conviction
- Carbon revenue: estimated 47,000 ACCUs per annum if JPR is fully planted; 40,000 ACCUs after partial land exit.
- Real asset backing: high-rainfall Southern Tablelands land with 20-year value CAGR above 8%.
- Cashflow bridge: ACT cutting rights strategy could control mature plantation cashflow while new forests establish.
- Upside optionality: home-block sale, wind-turbine lease income, timber rotation, and EU carbon-arbitrage thesis.